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High Impact News: 12th - 16th May 2025

High Impact News – Week Starting May 12th, 2025

We’re kicking off the week with a packed schedule of economic data that’s likely to fuel volatility across major markets.

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Tuesday sets the tone, with the UK releasing fresh employment figures early in the session. With job creation slowing in recent months, all eyes will be on whether the labour market is showing signs of cooling. Later in the day, the big one for the week arrives, US CPI data at 13:30 UTC. Markets are laser-focused on whether inflation is proving stickier than expected, with traders already pricing in potential shifts to the Fed's interest rate outlook.

On Wednesday, the eurozone publishes its latest inflation figures. After months of mixed signals from different member states, the April print could clarify whether the ECB stays on course for potential policy adjustments later this year.

Thursday is another heavy data day, kicking off overnight with Australian employment data. Later, the UK and Eurozone release Q1 GDP figures, giving traders a chance to assess the strength of the European economy after a sluggish end to 2024. In the US, PPI and Retail Sales will be in focus, providing additional inflation and consumer spending insights following Tuesday’s CPI release.

We wrap up the week with Japan’s Q1 GDP and New Zealand’s inflation expectations in the early Friday session, followed by the University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Index in the US later that day, a key gauge of consumer confidence heading into the summer.

With inflation, growth, and employment all on the calendar, buckle up for another volatile week in the markets. Manage your risk accordingly.