High Impact News – Week of June 2, 2025
We’re entering a data-heavy first week of June, with major releases across CHF, EUR, USD, CAD, and AUD, including central bank decisions and headline employment figures. Traders, expect volatility, particularly around mid-week.
Monday, June 2 – Manufacturing Sentiment & Swiss GDP
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08:00 CHF GDP (Q1): Switzerland’s Q1 GDP will set the tone for EURCHF and risk appetite across European pairs. Watch for any surprises versus expectations of stagnation.
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15:00 USD ISM Manufacturing PMI (May): A closely watched measure of factory activity in the U.S. Any reading below 50 could add pressure to USD and weigh on equity sentiment.
Tuesday, June 3 – Inflation Watch & Central Bank Insights
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02:30 AUD RBA Meeting Minutes: Traders will look for forward guidance on rates following recent inflation readings.
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02:45 CNY Caixin Manufacturing PMI (May): Key private-sector data that may sway risk sentiment and commodity currencies.
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07:30 CHF CPI (YoY, May): Another inflation signal from Switzerland after GDP.
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08:50 JPY BoJ Governor Ueda Speech: Always worth listening in, any hints on policy direction or Yen intervention talk will ripple across JPY pairs.
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10:00 EUR HICP & Core Inflation (May, Prel): A cluster of Eurozone inflation prints, watch these for potential ECB policy shifts on Thursday.
Wednesday, June 4 – U.S. Jobs & Canadian Rates
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02:30 AUD GDP (Q1): Could influence RBA sentiment, expect impact across AUD pairs.
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13:15 USD ADP Employment Change (May): Seen as a leading indicator for NFP on Friday. High deviations often trigger volatility in USD pairs.
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14:45 CAD BoC Interest Rate Decision & Statement: Major event for CAD traders. Will the BoC hold or pivot? Followed by the press conference at 15:30.
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15:00 USD ISM Services PMI (May): Important for gauging the health of the broader U.S. economy beyond manufacturing.
Thursday, June 5 – ECB Day
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02:30 AUD Trade Balance (Apr): AUD volatility may spike if the surplus narrows sharply.
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02:45 CNY Caixin Services PMI (May): Another market mover for risk sentiment and commodities.
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13:15–13:45 EUR ECB Triple Release:
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Rate Decision
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Monetary Policy Statement
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Press Conference at 13:45
ECB day is always a volatility magnet. Keep an eye on EUR crosses, especially if forward guidance or inflation concerns dominate Lagarde’s speech.
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Friday, June 6 – U.S. & Canadian Jobs Data
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10:00 EUR GDP & Retail Sales: These will follow the ECB and could confirm or challenge the central bank’s policy tone.
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13:30 Super Friday:
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CAD Employment & Unemployment Rate (May)
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USD NFP (May), Unemployment & Avg. Hourly Earnings
This is the big one. U.S. labour data is a major driver for the Fed’s monetary policy, so expect strong reactions across all USD pairs and equity indices.
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TLDR – What to Watch
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EUR, USD & CAD are in the spotlight mid-to-late week.
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ECB (Thursday) and NFP (Friday) are likely to be the week’s defining events.
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Keep risk tight, avoid over-leveraging around news, and monitor your DARWIN’s exposure accordingly.
Good luck out there and as always, let the risk engine do its job.